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Daily Morning Briefing

Wednesday, 3 June 2026

US equities push to fresh records as the AI rally re-accelerates and Goldman’s chief flags more greed than fear in the tape — though the yen sliding toward 160 and a private-credit fund hit by 17% redemptions keep a note of caution · Trump’s friction with Netanyahu is now the main hurdle to an Iran deal, with fresh US–Iran strikes straining the ceasefire and oil bid near $95 · Trump rebuilds a tariff wall with proposed 10% levies · SpaceX targets a $75bn listing.
Europe/Rome 06:00 · Markets open · pre-US-open · Risk-on · records, but froth building
Levels below are the Bloomberg Europe live ticker read at ~06:00 Rome. US indices reflect the latest close — the session that extended the AI-led record rally — while FTSE, FX and commodities are live. The week’s decisive data lands later: the US May jobs report on Friday (5 June) and the ECB decision on 11 June are the next big rates events.

Top of the morning

FT portfolio signal · tied to your holdings

What FT flagged for your book

Macro / regime read. The dominant thread this morning is froth, not fear. myFT instant alerts cluster around a record-chasing tape and a wall of supply: Goldman’s chief seeing more greed than fear, an Unhedged piece on roughly $675bn of fresh tech equity on offer, and calls for a “mammoth” IPO year — with SpaceX’s $75bn listing and Anthropic’s filing as the marquee names. Against that sit two cautions the dashboard cares about: a credit-stress flag (a private-credit fund facing ~17% redemptions, retail eyeing the exits) and a firmer-rates, weak-yen backdrop (US 10-year near 4.46%, yen toward 160). Ruchir Sharma’s “American profit machine” column and a fragile US–China chip truce reinforce the “respect the froth” framing. The credit flag is a watch item, not a severe trigger — the war-chest deployment rules stay dormant.

Shelf single-names: today’s live alerts are Microsoft and Alphabet. No GLP-1 / Novo Nordisk / Eli Lilly / Vertex / UnitedHealth / Intuitive / Visa / Mastercard / Berkshire single-name FT items in the window. (Name-level alerts only surface here once FT routes them to this Gmail — see the iCloud→Gmail forwarding note if they stay sparse.)

Net: the AI-capex tailwind is re-accelerating to records and two shelf names (MSFT, Alphabet) are in the news for the right reasons — but the greed signal is loud, supply is heavy, and the private-credit crack persists. Regime = risk-on, watch credit and rates; not a deploy trigger. Friday’s US payrolls and the 11 June ECB are the swing events.

Markets snapshot

Bloomberg Europe live ticker at ~06:00 Rome. US indices are the latest close (record rally); FTSE, FX and commodities live. Daily % changes as shown on the ticker.

InstrumentLastChange / context
S&P 5007,609.78+0.13% · fresh record on AI
Nasdaq27,093.90+0.03% · AI leadership holds
Bloomberg 5002,753.76+0.19%
FTSE 10010,373.51+0.33%
US 10-year Treasury4.46%yields firmer · rates a quiet headwind
EUR/USD~1.16+0.03% · little changed
GBP/USD~1.35+0.02%
Crude Oil$94.76+1.07% · Iran/Hormuz premium building
Gold (spot)$4,512.70+0.16% · hedge bid steady

Figures transcribed from the Bloomberg Europe “Top Securities” ticker; FX shown to two decimals as on the ticker. Yen quoted in narrative as approaching 160 per the markets-wrap headline.

Global markets & macro

The tape is back in record-chasing mode. Bloomberg’s lead has equities extending their AI-led rally, and the mood is captured bluntly by Goldman’s David Solomon, who sees more greed than fear in markets — a candid acknowledgement of how stretched risk appetite has become. The supply side is doing its part to feed it: SpaceX is lining up a ~$75bn IPO, Anthropic has filed confidentially, Alphabet is raising up to $80bn in equity for its build-out, and Unhedged tallies roughly $675bn of fresh tech stock heading to hungry investors. The contrarian flags are getting louder in proportion — a Ruchir Sharma column arguing US corporate profitability is no stronger than at the dotcom peak, 19 newly minted AI billionaires, and the first real crack in private credit, where a Cliffwater fund is fielding redemption requests near 17% and retail money is starting to eye the exits.

Rates and currencies are the quieter, firmer sub-plots. The US 10-year sits near 4.46% as a regime change takes shape at the Fed under Kevin Warsh, who has just named conservative advisers — a shift markets are still learning to price. In FX, the yen edging toward 160 is the standout, putting Tokyo’s intervention calculus back in focus, while the euro (~1.16) and sterling (~1.35) are little changed. Asia offered a constructive backdrop: Goldman lifted its Kospi target toward 12,000 and upgraded Taiwan to buy, China’s May services activity picked up on a holiday boost, and the region’s AI-wealth story rolled on as a TikTok-linked fortune overtook Mukesh Ambani. Commodities keep a geopolitical tilt — crude firmer near $95 on the Iran premium, gold steady around $4,510 — with Friday’s US payrolls the week’s decisive print.

Geopolitics & world news

The Iran track is the morning’s dominant risk, and it has turned more tangled than tense. Bloomberg frames Israel’s determination to pursue its own objectives as the main thing limiting Trump’s control over how the conflict ends — a friction between the two leaders that is now the chief obstacle to a durable deal. Overnight the US and Iran exchanged fresh strikes that strained the ceasefire, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained thin while a peace deal hangs in the balance, and the war is increasingly visible in global food supply chains. Markets read it through oil, which holds a premium near $95, and gold, which keeps a steady hedge bid. Layered on top is Trump’s tariff push — proposed 10% levies on a broad set of partners, a court appeal over earlier duties, and selective rate cuts pitched as pro-investment.

Europe’s security debate is sharpening. Stoltenberg’s warning that NATO is harder to manage — and that Europe must set limits with Washington — lands as the US signals openness to basing nuclear-capable bombers in more countries, and as the EU moves to strengthen its own tech base against both the US and China. Elsewhere, Russia’s state is seizing assets from an expanding list of billionaires, raising fears over who is next, and a pro-Trump outsider advanced in Colombia’s vote. For the medical reader, the standout is clinical: a feature arguing the world’s Ebola preparedness is mismatched to the current strain, alongside NYU Langone’s plan for a new multi-billion-dollar Long Island hospital — signals worth tracking for public health and the healthcare-investment landscape.

Today & week ahead (CET)